Gate Private Wealth Management

In February, BTC declined by approximately 15.5%, while ETH also corrected in tandem. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell into the Extreme Fear zone, reflecting a significant rise in market risk-off sentiment. Despite the volatile market environment, the fund portfolio maintained relatively stable overall performance, though short-term returns showed some divergence. Among the strategies, Stellar Core Smart-Invest (USDT) delivered the highest one-year return of 9.5%. Meanwhile, Interstellar Hedge (USDT) and Orbital Arbitrage (USDT) recorded cumulative returns of 18.0% and 17.2%, respectively. Notably, Interstellar Hedge (USDT) achieved positive returns in all 20 cycles during the observation period, resulting in a 100% win rate. Gravity Hedge (USDT) also performed strongly, with a 95% overall win rate.

The crypto market saw a broad sell-off, with BTC and ETH down 10% and 18% in January, respectively. Within Gate Private Wealth’s quantitative funds, the USDT strategy delivered a 6.7% return over the past year. The Interstellar Hedge (USDT) strategy stood out with a 5.0% monthly annualized return, while Quantum Leap (USDT) and Interstellar Hedge (USDT) have maintained a 100% monthly win rate since inception. The Top 30% portfolio achieved a 4.5% annualized return in January, significantly outperforming Bitcoin and U.S. Treasury yields. Overall, Walsh’s appointment does not imply a full shift toward monetary tightening, and the market consensus still points to two rate cuts this year.

The crypto market ended 2025 with negative returns, as BTC and ETH failed to hold their key year-start levels of $90,000 and $3,000, respectively. Within Gate’s private wealth quant funds, Stellar Core Smart-Invest (USDT) led with an 11.0% annualized return and a Sharpe ratio of 4.3, demonstrating strong risk-adjusted performance. Additionally, Quantum Leap (USDT), Interstellar Hedge (USDT), and Gravity Hedge (USDT) all achieved a 100% win rate for the year. The USDT strategy returned 1.6% in December and achieved a 7.5% full-year return, with overall drawdowns nearly at zero. In the short term, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January is low, and divergence over the pace of future cuts may further widen. In the medium to long term, deeper regulatory coordination and progress in crypto legislation could become a key institutional turning point for crypto assets entering the mainstream financial system.

November saw Bitcoin decline by 17.54%, marking the largest monthly drop of the year. Bitcoin ETFs experienced the second-largest single-month outflow since their launch in 2024. In November, Gate’s quantitative fund recorded a 1.9% return for the USDT strategy; the top 30% portfolio achieved an annualized return of 4.1%, outperforming Bitcoin. The “Arbitrage Pioneer – USDT” strategy stood out with a monthly annualized return of 5.5%, demonstrating robust defensive characteristics. Overall fund drawdowns remained low, with the USDT strategy experiencing a maximum drawdown of just 0.02%. Looking ahead to December, expectations for interest rate cuts, next year’s rate trajectory, potential rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, and speculation over a Fed leadership change are likely to drive short-term crypto volatility.

In October, Bitcoin recorded its first monthly loss since 2018, with the overall cryptocurrency market significantly underperforming traditional risk assets. Despite this weakness, the top 30% of quantitative fund portfolios achieved an impressive annualized return of 35.4%, substantially outperforming Bitcoin. The Hedging Investment-USDT strategy stood out, delivering a positive 5% return even as Bitcoin declined more than 5.5% during the month. Overall drawdowns across quantitative funds remained minimal, with the USDT strategy’s maximum drawdown at just -0.01%. Looking ahead to November, macro liquidity conditions and policy expectations are expected to continue driving market direction, while the crypto market may remain in a “high-volatility, low-trend” consolidation phase.